Updated February 17
1. Buccaneers – Jameis Winston – QB – Florida State – Scouting Report
In terms of physical tools, Winston is clearly the surperior quarterback in this class—the best since Luck and RG3, in fact. If the Bucs pass him over, Winston can only blame his own lack of maturity. But when a quarterback shows as up much potential as Winston, a lot can be overlooked.
2. Titans – Randy Gregory – DE – Nebraska – Scouting Report
Mariota and/or Winston are definitely options for the Titans. But if they have questions about either, Mettenberger has shown enough to give them a reason to pass. Gregory is ready to contribute as a pass-rusher immediately and has more upside than any defensive prospect in this class.
3. Jaguars – Amari Cooper – WR – Alabama – Scouting Report
There’s no way to sugarcoat it, Blake Bortles was terrible. But he played on an offense that featured exactly three players who earned positive grades from PFF (and one was a fullback). The Jaguars have to surround him with as much talent as possible this offseason.
4. Raiders – Leonard Williams – DE – USC – Scouting Report
You can’t rule anything out when it comes to the Raiders, but I would assume Derek Carr has shown enough to make the Raiders pass on Winston. If Cooper is off the board, the Raiders have to settle for the best available defensive prospect. A case could be made for a few prospects, but Williams is the consensus top available in this scenario.
5. Redskins – Kevin White – WR – West Virginia – Scouting Report
The Redskins have issues on defense, but it may be tough to pass up the opportunity to give RG3 a weapon like White. RG3 has proven he isn’t the type of quarterback who can sit in the pocket and pick apart a defense. But he certainly has the tools to win when paired with a weapon like White.
6. Jets – Marcus Mariota – QB – Oregon – Scouting Report
This is the worst-case scenario for Mariota—and I’m not referring to him falling to No. 6, I’m referring to the team. He’ll struggle in New York if he’s thrown into the same dysfunctional situation that destroyed Geno Smith. If the Jets go this direction, hopefully they have a plan for 2015 that doesn’t involve Mariota being thrown into the fire.
7. Bears - Shane Ray – DE – Missouri – Scouting Report
This selection would be more about value than immediate need. Ray is the most explosive pass-rusher in this class and would provide the Bears with some depth and a long-term replacement for Jared Allen, who may be expendable after the 2015 season.
8. Falcons – Dante Fowler Jr. – DE – Florida – Scouting Report
Thomas Dmitroff has left the Falcons with almost no talent on the defensive side of the ball, and it ended up costing Mike Smith his job. Fowler is similar to Beasley due to the fact that they’re somewhat one-dimensional pass-rushers at this stage of their careers, but talent are there to build upon.
9. Giants – Bud Dupree – DE – Kentucky – Scouting Report
The Giants love pass-rushers, and this class is loaded with them. It doesn’t appear to be a glaring need, but it’s tough to identify another position that the Giants need to address and also has obvious value in the top 10. Dupree has the potential to develop into a true three-down lineman.
10. Rams – Brandon Scherff – OL – Iowa – Scouting Report
The Rams are expecting Greg Robinson to lock down the left tackle spot next season. But Joseph Barksdale and Davin Joseph are both free agents and it’s extremely unlikely that both will return to St. Louis. Scherff could play right tackle or guard, making him a nice fit regardless of the need.
11. Vikings – DeVante Parker – WR – Louisville – Scouting Report
I’ve compared Parker to Randy Moss, so it would be fitting to see him land in Minnesota. Parker has the speed to be a legitimate deep threat but also the size to win the battle for jump balls. It’s a rare combination, and one that Moss had as well. His addition would certainly aid in the development of Bridgewater.
12. Browns – Andrus Peat – OT – Stanford – Scouting Report
This would be a fallback option for the Browns if all three receivers are off the board. Mitchell Schwartz could easily stick around as the right tackle fo another season, but Peat gives the Browns good value at No. 12 and a chance to upgrade the position.
13. Saints – Shaq Thompson – LB – Washington – Scouting Report
Just plug in one of the top defenders here. The Saints should have plenty of options, but Thompson’s versatile playmaking ability should put him on high on their list. Thompson would start immediately at inside linebacker in Rob Ryan’s defense.
14. Dolphins – La’el Collins – OL – LSU – Scouting Report
Collins would provide the Dolphins with an immediate upgrade on the interior line. But he offers a little more due to his experience at tackle, which would give the Dolphins some insurance behind the injury-prone Branden Albert. If Albert goes down again, James moves back to left tackle while Collins can easily slide out to right tackle.
15. 49ers – Trae Waynes – CB – Michigan State
This feels like an obvious choice if Waynes is on the board. Cox and Culliver are both free agents and the depth at the position is lacking. The 49ers need to address the secondary early in the draft, and Waynes is the safest choice in this draft class.
16. Texans – Landon Collins – SS – Alabama
D.J. Swearinger is cheap and under contract for two more years, but the Texans would have to be tempted by this upgrade if Collins is still on the board. The Texans have plenty of other options, but this is a nice blend of need and value.